There are many ways to calculate the impact and it is difficult to tease out what is the impact of a cut and what is the impact of other factors such as the lending environment, population growth, state based economic growth and construction costs. However, we have looked at it very simply. What has been the impact on pricing the month after a rate cut previously? In particular when there hasn’t been a rate cut for some time.
In undertaking this analysis, we have looked at house prices for Australia, and by capital city and looked at what happens to pricing the month after a cut. We have limited it to cuts that occur after at least six months of no movement. There have been four instances since January 2011 that this occurs - November 2011, February 2015, May 2016 and June 2019.